Listen, I knew Memphis was overrated to start the season. I realize John Calipari's squad hasn't really beaten anyone of note yet this season. But when it comes to games within Conference USA, the Tigers simply don't lose.
You have to go all the way back to March of 2006 to find Memphis' last loss within the conference. That's right—the Tigers have gone two full seasons without losing, and aside from the aforementioned loss at UAB, it would've been three.
That's why I'm just fine laying 4.5 at Tulsa tonight. Tulsa is a wild card team in Conference USA this year. Tulsa returns most of its scoring from a year ago, a season in which it went 15-4 to close out the year and won the CBI.
The Golden Hurricane played a very daunting non-conference schedule, but aside from beating Texas A&M, it came up empty-handed, losing to Oklahoma State by 18, Oklahoma by 25, Illinois by four, Ohio by 12, and BYU by six. Tulsa is 1-0 in conference.
Memphis, meanwhile, is 2-0 in conference, smoking Marshall and winning at UCF. The Tigers swept Tulsa last year, winning all three games, the closest being a 15-point win on Tulsa's home court.
There's two ways to approach this game: Stay away until Memphis proves itself, or bet the Tigers until they give a reason to believe they won't dominate conference play again.
I'm going with the latter.
Today's Pick: Memphis -4.5; 1 unit
Season Record: 33-23 (59 percent); +13.8 units