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There is something to be said for having 22-year-olds going against 18-year-olds. Your individual game improves having been coached for four years and, as a team, you gain all of that extra in-game experience. Think about how smooth the Boston Celtics look in the last two minutes of a close game. Reason: They’ve been there before and instinctively know what to do.
I think having the seven-footer, Garrett Stutz, will push Anthony Davis into early foul trouble. Davis picks up that second foul early and Kentucky is a completely different team without him. Wichita State gets hot from three, builds a fairly big lead, Kentucky rallies back, ties things up with five minutes to go and you have a back-and-forth the rest of the way. Not that I’ve imagined this yet or anything…
In the last minute, Calipari’s team will miss free throws a la Memphis 2008, and Wichita State will throw up one of those, end of the shot clock, probably bank-in three point shots to push their lead to five. Cue the One Shining Moment music, the ESPN overreaction, and the Twitter explosion.
Why I am wrong: This game is similar to Kentucky vs. Cornell game a few years back. Cornell had the big man, Jeff Foote, and a bunch of experienced seniors out on the perimeter. The Wildcats, with John Wall, Cousins, etc., proved to have too much talent for The Big Red and advanced.