UFC on FX 2: Final Main Card Predictions
Thiago Alves stares down Martin Kampmann (Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC)
Former UFC Welterweight title contender Thiago "Pitbull" Alves looks to cement his claim towards a trip back to the main event once more as he puts the momentum of a win over Papy Abedi against the momentum of a win over Rick Story that reversed a horrendous two-fight skid for one Martin "The Hitman" Kampmann.
The event will also include the MMA World Premiere of the UFC flyweight division as consensus No. 1 ranked 125er "Uncle Creepy" Ian McCall combats Demetrious "Mighty Mouse" Johnson and Joseph Benavidez faces consistently top-ranked former Shooto 123-lb. Bantamweight Champion Yasuhiro Urushitani.
Opening up the main card is a Middleweight bout between Court McGee and Costa Philippou in a bout that is sure to serve as an entertaining kickoff to a live main card of fights on FX.
Now without further ado, let us establish some final predictions for the main card of UFC on FX 2: Alves vs. Kampmann.
Court McGee Defeats Costa Philippou by Unanimous Decision
Court McGee (TX MMA)
Court McGee and Costa Phiippou both came from Season 11 of The Ultimate Fighter, but Costa was submitted by Joe "Leonidas" Henle while McGee went on to rebound from a controversial loss in the TUF 11 quarterfinals against one Nick "The Promise" Ring, defeating James Hammortree and Brad Tavares before becoming the ultimate winner of TUF 11 by defeating Kris McCray.
Meanwhile. Costa rebounded from a loss to Nick Catone in order to defeat Jorge Rivera and Jared Hamman in 2011.
Both men are known for being as strong on the ground as they have shown themselves to be on the feet in their most recent bouts, but at the end of the day, Court's power, while less probably to cause a knockout than is Philippou, barring some glass that we never heard of when we've previously discussed Philippou's jaw, is still enough to damage Philippou.
Again, though, the smart money is not made on a knockout in this bout, though one might be able to expect fireworks between two guys that can hit hard on the ground while also finding a way to prove themselves as a threat on the ground.
Costa rolls with Matt Serra and Ray Longo, as well as Chris Weidman, who replaced McGee at UFC 131, so Costa is under the tutelage of a strong and experienced veteran who also happens to be a onetime UFC Welterweight Champion.
Meanwhile, John Hackleman trains McGee at The Pit, and although Costa will hang on for all fifteen minutes, he may earn one round at best against a very strong and very patient McGee, who dictates the temp of the action on the feet and maintains the majority of the dominant positions on the feet while consistently keeping Costa in danger for at least two out of three five-minute rounds.
Ian McCall Takes the Sudden Victory Round for the Win Against Demetrious Johnson
Ian McCall was one of plethora of names mentioned when talking about the best Flyweights in the world as of the Spring of 2011, being one of the best Flyweights in MMA after the win he scored over Jussier da Silva and all.
Now, he's in the UFC and looking to earn another big win, but Demetrious Johnson wants to knock McCall off of the top spot early.
The division is a perfect fit for Johnson, whose striking, wrestling, speed and footwork could be implemented to their full strength. However, the Matt Hume product is dealing with a very technical striker from the Team Oyama camp with some punishing Muay Thai and a pace that is one of the best representations of the high-octane energy that fans love to see in the 125-pound division.
Expect this one to end in a split draw after three rounds, with one judge saying McCall won, one judge saying Johnson won and one judge saying that the bout was a stalemate, thus prompting the fight to go into "sudden victory."
If it does hit the "sudden victory" round, both men will look like they went through something you might only see in Mortal Kombat, but McCall's Muay Thai and pace will hold up long enough to earn a unanimous decision by way of a 10-9 in the fourth round, provided he cannot finish Johnson.
I wouldn't expect a finish in this one either way, but if it does, don't hold your breath on it coming early.
Joseph Benavidez Submits Yasuhiro Urushitani by Joe-Goplata, Not Joe-Moplata
(Joseph Benavidez-Las Vegas Sun)
Former WEC Bantamweight Joseph Benavidez made a very impressive 15-2 run in the 135-pound division, but like Demetrious Johnson, Benavidez was just trying to stay competitive at 135 and knew that 125 might be something of a better fight for him in the long run.
He gets to prove it against the former Shooto 123-lb. Bantamweight Champion and consistently top-ranked Japanese flyweight Yasuhiro Urushitani, a counter-striker who has only really resorted to his grappling for the purposes of keeping the fight standing for as long as he can.
However, his counter-striking and his straightforward movement are areas of concern because even a disciplined and focused Benavidez can still bring a speed and push a tempo that Urushitani has never been able to try to match before in either the cage or the ring.
The Godfather of Benavidez Joe-Jitsu has predicted a "Joe-moplata" as his method of defeating Urushitani, who will look for a KO in Sydney, but regardless of what a Joe-moplata is, we're not going to see it, even if this one hits the "sudden victory" round.
If you're asking this writer though, this one will end as a unanimous draw in order to set up the "sudden victory" round, and while a Joe-moplata may not be in the cards, a Joe-goplata seems all but a certainty for Urushitani, who will prove why he's so difficult to finish but will succumb to Benavidez's pace and eventually tap out or pass out.
Thiago Alves Earns a TKO Stoppage by Leg Kicks to Beat Martin Kampmann
Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images
How do you break Martin Kampmann down without actually taking him down?
You attack his legs, if you're a Thiago "Pitbull" Alves that wants to win in Australia.
Kampmann is a grappler and a technical striker who can knock opponents down, no matter how good their chin is, but what he as in his striking regiment, he lacks in the type of knockout power that can put Alves away.
Though Kampmann will prove he's not scared to throw leather or slam shinbones, he will find himself checked by a number of leg kicks that will eventually take their toll, and the end result will be a victory for Alves.
How does that happen when Alvess throws his slamming leg kicks?
It happens when Alves throws his leg kicks because Kampmann will find himself gradually slowing down and unable to properly go in to strike or close the distance for a proper take-down.
When that happens, Alves will have created a situation in which he can dictate the action and eventually finish the fight with his well-documented Muay Thai regiment, and dividends will of course be paid to, what else?
They will be paid in full to the integral part played by Alves' leg kicks.
Mark Kolbe/Getty Images
Fights of the Night: McCall vs. Johnson and Benavidez vs. Urushitani
Submission of the Night: Joseph Benavidez
Knockout of the Night: Nick Penner
"Sleeper fights" of the Night: James Te Huna vs. Aaron Rosa and Court McGee vs. Costa Philippou