If you believe your league's rankings with these players, you will be left disappointed. If you want to put these guys on your team, be prepared to deal with a lot of frustration and inconsistency. You're better off looking elsewhere to fill these positions.
Who will hit more home runs in 2012?
Lance Berkman, 1B/OF, St. Louis Cardinals
Berkman saw some pitches in 2011 and had some golden opportunities to thump. That is what batting either right before or right after Albert Pujols will tend to do.
Now, Pujols is gone and Berkman's numbers will drop.
Also, even in 2011, he missed 17 games.
As a matter of fact, Berkman hasn't played in more than 150 since 2008. He is now 36, which does not indicate that his best years are still to come.
Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Colorado Rockies
There is nothing to trust about Gonzalez when he's not hitting at Coors Field. This has been a consistent struggle throughout his career in Colorado and will continue to be in 2012.
The National League West features some of baseball's best pitchers, who ply their craft in the top pitching parks in the league.
Quite frankly, you don't ever want to reach for a guy who will only bring you consistency in half of the games.
Let Gonzalez fall to you.
Look at his projections in your league, and add two rounds to them.
If he falls, great. If not, let someone else deal with the frustration.
Stephen Strasburg, SP, Washington Nationals
Hear this out.
Strasburg is going to be kept on an extremely tight pitch count this year, which will impact his numbers across the board. The Nationals aren't going to be concerned with wins and losses, strikeouts or any other personal statistic.
The early part of the year will yield limited pitches, which will bring few wins and strikeouts.
Also, if he ever has a bad start, things like ERA and WHIP will be hard to come down.
He has a lot of appeal, but you have to look past it.
Remember that Strasburg hurt himself early on in 2010, forcing him to miss nearly all of 2012. They will be careful with the franchise arm.
Dixon's 2012 Mock Draft with Season Projections
|1.||Matt Kemp, OF||98||34||103||41||.304|
|2.||Miguel Cabrera, 1B ||108||34||114||2||.328|
|3.||Albert Pujols, 1B||102||41||111||7||.317|
|4.||Robinson Cano, 2B||107||29||108||6||.324|
|5.||Jacoby Ellsbury, OF ||118||26||91||39||.319|
|6.||Jose Bautista, 3B/OF||107||42||103||6||.292|
|7.||Troy Tulowitzki, SS||93||31||98||9||.303|
|8.||Adrian Gonzalez, 1B||107||36||115||1||.309|
|9.||Joey Votto, 1B||109||35||107||6||.312|
|10.||Ryan Braun, OF||98||29||107||37||.317|
|11.||Prince Fielder, 1B||110||41||121||2||.289|
|12.||Roy Halladay, SP||22||212||2.13||1.08|
|13.||Dustin Pedroia, 2B||112||23||82||23||.316|
|14.||Justin Verlander, SP||21||226||2.21||1.04|
|15.||Evan Longoria, 3B||95||33||97||8||.280|
|16.||Justin Upton, OF||103||36||105||38||.278|
|17.||Ryan Zimmerman, 3B||89||25||89||4||.312|
|18.||Clayton Kershaw, SP||15||216||2.33||1.10|
|19.||Jose Reyes, SS||101||13||61||37||.309|
|20.||Andrew McCutchen, OF||91||27||92||37||.293|
|21.||Ian Kinsler, 2B||101||28||74||31||.281|
|22.||Felix Hernandez, SP||14||223||2.12||1.01|
|21.||Hanley Ramirez, SS||91||25||92||29||.295|
|22.||David Wright, 3B||82||24||86||14||.294|
|23.||Mark Teixeira, 1B||101||39||104||5||.261|
|24.||Matt Holliday, OF||93||26||92||13||.320|
|25.||Cliff Lee, SP||18||202||2.37||1.12|
|26.||Mike Stanton, OF||87||44||106||6||.261|
|27.||Alex Rodriguez, 3B||94||28||92||5||.287|
|28.||Jered Weaver, SP||19||211||2.46||1.18|
|29.||Adrian Beltre, 3B||84||27||91||7||.283|
|30.||Jay Bruce, OF||93||34||101||14||.278|
Note: Saves are also a category in standard fantasy leagues, but no closer is included in the Top 30, so they are omitted from the projections.