NCAA Women's National Championship: Tournament or Foregone Conclusion?

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NCAA Women's National Championship: Tournament or Foregone Conclusion?
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Despite the preeminence of the Baylor Lady Bears, and, much to the relief of UConn coach Geno Auriemma, the NCAA has decided to conduct its 2012 Women’s National Basketball Tournament after all.

As teams are wrapping up their seasons and gearing up for conference tournaments, the landscape looks much as it had looked eight weeks ago.

As the New Year dawned, 12 of the current Top 15 teams—eight of the Top 10—were in place. The other three ranked no lower than surprising Delaware’s No. 19.  And the “Fabulous Four” of Baylor, UConn, Notre Dame and Stanford each just about paid off the mortgage on their lofty pieces of real estate.

March may be renowned for its insanity, but the only “Madness” to this tournament would be if three or even all four of these star-studded squads do not wind up in Denver on April Fool’s Day.

Using data that reflects play through Friday, Feb. 24, let’s take a numerical look at how these 15 outfits have navigated through the season to this point.

Perhaps we’ll stumble over a bit of insight along the way.

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