You can make a valid case for each of this year's six competitors to win the three-point shootout. However, there can only be one winner, and through process of elimination, I see this year's 3-point shootout happening somewhere along these lines:
Anthony Morrow has shown himself to be a streaky shooter throughout his career. That could work for or against him, but in a competition like this, I think it makes him susceptible to a shooting slump that he may not be able to get out of before it's too late.
Kevin Love is certainly a worthy competitor, but I don't believe he quite has the outside shot to outduel everybody else from downtown.
James Jones has done it before, but I think his lack of playing time so far this season will hurt him in this competition. He just hasn't had the opportunity to shoot under pressure much this year, and that will make him come up short.
Kevin Durant will be ready to prove to everyone that he can get it done this time around after his poor showing last year. I think that motivation will do a lot to help him, but in the end, I expect him to once again show that he's more of a scorer than he is a shooter.
This leaves me picking between Mario Chalmers and Ryan Anderson. Chalmers' sky-high percentage from behind the arc this year leads me to believe that he can get it done, in addition to the trend of success Heat players have had in the three-point shootout.
Anderson, on the other hand, has made more three-pointers than anyone in the league, and will have the home crowd behind him in Orlando.
It's a tough choice, but in a down-to-the-wire finish, my prediction for the 2012 NBA All-Star Weekend three-point shootout goes to...
Remaining predicted order of finish:
2. Mario Chalmers
3. Kevin Durant
4. James Jones
5. Anthony Morrow
6. Kevin Love