2012 NFL Mock Draft: Setting Pro Bowl Odds for Every Rookie

James TateAnalyst IIIFebruary 26, 2012

2012 NFL Mock Draft: Setting Pro Bowl Odds for Every Rookie

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    As the 2012 NFL Scouting Combine comes to a close, there is a little bit more clarity in where players will be selected in the first round of the draft.  There have already been a few guys, like Cordy Glenn, who have made themselves a lot of money.

    In this version of the mock draft, there are odds for each player making the Pro Bowl as a rookie.

1. Indianapolis Colts

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    Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford

    Now the countdown is on to the Colts signing Andrew Luck.  They can sign him at anytime now that the coin tosses have taken place.  Odds are they will wait until the weekend of the draft just to see if anyone will make them an offer for the pick that they cannot refuse.

    Andrew Luck will be elected to multiple Pro Bowls before his career is over.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 5:1

2. Washington Redskins (from St. Louis Rams)

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    Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor

    RG3 went to the NFL Combine and exceeded all of the expectations that people had for him.  There is no way he will not be the No. 2 pick in the draft.

    The ceiling for Griffin is extremely high.  Mike Shanahan will be chomping at the bit to get a deal done with the Rams so he can draft him.

    Griffin is going to take the NFL by storm.  He will make the Pro Bowl in his rookie season.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 4:1

3. Minnesota Vikings

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    Matt Kalil, OT, USC

    Kalil is another player that exceeded expectations with his workouts at the combine.  People are calling him a cannot-miss product that will be among the top players at his position in his first couple of years in the league.  The Vikings will have no choice but to take him with this pick.

    Kalil will go to double-digit Pro Bowls in his career.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 1:1

4. Cleveland Browns

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    Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State

    Blackmon did not run at the combine because of a sore hamstring.  Some people now think that Kendall Wright could be the first receiver off the board now because of his performance in Indianapolis.

    It is hard to say at this point who will be the better receiver between Blackmon and Wright, but there is no question that Blackmon is a better fit for the Browns.  Colt McCoy does not have the arm to take advantage of Wright's speed down the field.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 15:1

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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    Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

    Richardson is the best non-quarterback prospect in this draft.  He was not able to work out at the combine because of a knee surgery, but he will put on a show at Alabama's pro day.

    The Bucs will take a long, hard look at Morris Claiborne here, but they will ultimately decide to go with Richardson because he is a sure thing.

    Richardson will be a perennial Pro Bowler.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 5:1

6. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins)

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    Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU

    Claiborne is the best defensive player in this draft.  The Rams need more help on offense than on defense, so they get a win for this year in their trade with the Redskins.

    Jeff Fisher and Gregg Williams will be thrilled to add Claiborne to the mix because he can do it all.  He is excellent in man coverage and is also very effective as a zone corner.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 10:1

7. Jacksonville Jaguars

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    Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor

    Wright ended up with a disappointing official time in the 40, but the analysts were raving about his route running skills.

    The Jaguars are desperate to give Blaine Gabbert some playmakers.  They will do that with this pick.  Now it will be up to Gabbert to prove that he can get Wright the ball.

    Wright will be a good player, but it will take a while for him to prove that because Gabbert is not very good.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 10:1

8. Miami Dolphins

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    Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa

    Reiff is the obvious option for the Dolphins here.  NFL teams are built in the trenches, and Miami needs some help there.  Adding Reiff will give them one of the best tackle combinations in the league.

    It will probably take a while for Reiff to get his due because he will be playing right tackle, but it will not be long before he is mentioned as one of the best in the league at that position.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 20:1

9. Carolina Panthers

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    Michael Brockers, DL, LSU

    The Panthers need playmakers on defense.  They will not be 100 percent sure where they will play Brockers when he is picked, but they hope that he will make an immediate impact against the run and the pass.

    The biggest concern with Brockers coming out is that he does not have much experience at the college level.  It might take him a while to get up to speed, but he will be a beast when he does.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 30:1

10. Buffalo Bills

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    Courtney Upshaw, LB, Alabama

    Upshaw is a playmaker.  That is something that the Bills desperately need on defense.  

    They are thrilled with last year's selection of Marcell Dareus out of Alabama and will be equally as thrilled to get Upshaw on the field for them.  He will make the same immediate impact.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 20:1

11. Kansas City Chiefs

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    Cordy Glenn, OT, Georgia

    No one made more money with his performance at the combine than Glenn.  Most people were not sure if he was a tackle or a guard before the weekend.  Now almost everyone is convinced that he can play tackle at the next level.

    He will have some growing pains, but there is no doubt he has the ability to be a star at the next level.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 40:1

12. Seattle Seahawks

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    Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina

    Coples might be the best pass rusher in this draft, but his tape is so inconsistent that a lot of teams are going to be scared away from picking him early.  That could make this pick an absolute steal for the Seahawks.

    Coples will have some work to do before he becomes a great NFL pass-rusher, but he can get there if he is willing to work.  That is the biggest question he has to answer.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 25:1

13. Arizona Cardinals

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    David DeCastro, OG, Stanford

    DeCastro did nothing but help himself with his time in Indianapolis.  He solidified his top-15 ranking in this class.

    The Cardinals still are not sure who their quarterback is going to be at this point, but whoever it is will have a much easier time with DeCastro in front of him.  He will be a staple in Hawaii.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 5:1

14. Dallas Cowboys

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    Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama

    The Cowboys are desperate for help in the secondary, so they will be thrilled to see the second best cornerback in this year's draft fall to them at No. 14.  Kirkpatrick is not on the same level as Morris Claiborne when it comes to coverage, but he is more physical.

    Some teams will be scared off by the off-field issues Kirkpatrick has, but Jerry Jones has never been one to shy away from taking those guys.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 50:1

15. Philadelphia Eagles

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    Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College

    Kuechly is one of the more overrated players in this draft, but he will go early because there really are not that many good inside linebacker options. 

    It's not that he is not a good player, but his numbers from college seem to be a little bit inflated. 

    He fits an immediate need for the Eagles, as they were terrible at inside linebacker in 2011.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 40:1


16. New York Jets

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    Melvin Ingram, OLB, South Carolina

    Ingram is a guy that can play in the NFL as a 4-3 end or a 3-4 outside linebacker.  He will play the latter with the Jets and is sure to help their pass rush, which was not nearly as good in 2011 as it was in the few years prior.

    Look for Ingram to thrive right away in Rex Ryan's system.  There is no doubt he has the athleticism to play—he just needs the right spot.  He will find it in New York.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 25:1

17. Cincinnati Bengals

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    Janoris Jenkins, CB, South Alabama

    There has been a lot made of the off-field issues Jenkins had in Florida.  That is the only reason he falls this far in the draft.  Of course, things could get really interesting on the Bengals roster with Jenkins and Pacman Jones.

    Jenkins, on ability alone, is the second best corner in this draft.  He will be a star if he can keep himself out of trouble off the field, but that is a big if.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 25:1

18. San Diego Chargers

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    Nick Perry, OLB, USC

    Perry is a perfect fit for the San Diego Chargers.  Their pass rush has been a problem for the last few years.  It might take Perry a little bit of time to adjust to playing in the NFL, but he will be a stud once he does.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 30:1

19. Chicago Bears

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    Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

    Floyd worked out well in Indianapolis.  There is no doubt the Bears would be thrilled to see him fall to this spot because they really need a wide receiver who can make plays for Jay Cutler.

    It will probably take Floyd a little bit of time to make the adjustment to playing in the NFL.  He will be a favorite target of Cutler's once it clicks for him.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 30:1

20. Tennessee Titans

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    Mark Barron, S, Alabama

    The only reason Barron is falling this far is because of his injury.  He is the best safety in this draft, which is a good position to be in considering how many teams need a safety.

    The Titans currently only have one safety on their roster.  Barron will be an immediate impact player for them because of his ability against the run and the pass.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 20:1

21. Cincinnati Bengals

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    Lamar Miller, RB, Miami

    Miller's performance at the combine has moved him into position as the second-best running back in this draft.  He will add an element of speed to the Bengals' running game that they desperately need.

    The Cincinnati defense is going to be tough to stop with all of the young weapons they will have on the field.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 15:1

22. Cleveland Browns

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    Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford

    Martin takes a little bit of a fall in this mock draft because of the performance of Cordy Glenn.  Martin did not do anything wrong at the combine, but Glenn is all the rage right now.

    Cleveland would be getting a really good player with Martin falling to this spot.  He might not ever be an All-Pro, but he will be a solid player for years.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 30:1

23. Detroit Lions

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    Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska

    Dennard is not the best cover corner in this draft, but he would be a really nice fit in the Lions' system.  He plays the zone well and can hold his own against the run.

    The Lions are set on offense.  They need to upgrade their defense early in this draft, and Dennard will help them do just that.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 50:1

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

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    Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis

    Poe has already gotten off to a strong start in Indianapolis with 44 reps in the bench press.  He is sure to get even more headlines tomorrow when he shows his athleticism in the 40.

    Pittsburgh needs to draft Casey Hampton's replacement.  Poe looks to be that guy.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 50:1

25. Denver Broncos

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    Devon Still, DT, Penn State

    The Broncos need to get better up front on defense.  Still will help them to do just that.  He is stout against the run and can get after the quarterback.  That is the recipe for success as a defensive tackle in the NFL.

    It is pretty clear Denver wants to win games running the football and playing defense, which is why they have to go with Still here.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 60:1

26. Houston Texans

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    Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina

    Jeffery did not run at the combine, but he silenced his critics when he weighed in at 216 pounds.  That was a big step for Jeffery, who has as much upside as any receiver in this draft.

    The Texans need a complement to Andre Johnson.  Jeffery has the ability to be about as good as Johnson.  It would be a nightmare for opposing defensive coordinators to have to scheme for those two.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 15:1

27. New England Patriots (from New Orleans Saints)

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    Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina

    The Patriots were playing a wide receiver at corner for most of the season.  There is no doubt upgrading the secondary is one of their biggest priorities in this draft.

    Gilmore is one of the more underrated players in this draft.  Bill Belichick loves to find those guys and turn them into stars.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 75:1

28. Green Bay Packers

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    Whitney Mercilus, OLB, Illinois

    Mercilus will be an interesting guy to watch on draft day.  There is a chance that a team could fall in love with him and take him in the top 15.

    The Packers would be ecstatic to get him here because they desperately need help with their pass rush.  Mercilus was outstanding in 2011, but some teams will be scared off because he only has one year of production.  It is worth the risk for the Packers.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 25:1

29. Baltimore Ravens

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    Vontaze Burfict, LB, Arizona State

    Burfict is a perfect fit for the Ravens.  They play with that same edge that Burfict was known for in college.  He will have the benefit of having Ray Lewis teach him how to channel it to his play on the field.

    Burfict will eventually be the guy that takes over for Lewis in the middle of that defense.  He will have the benefit of learning from Lewis for a year or two before it is his time.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 50:1

30. San Francisco 49ers

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    Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers

    There is a good chance the 49ers will add a receiver in free agency, but if they do not, Sanu would be the perfect fit for them.  They need a guy that can make some plays on the outside.  Sanu proved in his time at Rutgers that he can do just that.

    It will be interesting to see how long it takes him to adjust to the NFL.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 60:1

31. New England Patriots

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    Dont'a Hightower, LB, Alabama

    Some picks just make too much sense.  This is one of them.  Bill Belichick likes smart football players who produces at the college level in big time programs.  Hightower is just that guy.

    It will also be an easy adjustment for him to play for Belichick after spending his college years playing for Nick Saban.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 50:1

32. New York Giants

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    Zach Brown, LB, North Carolina

    Brown is not the hardest hitting linebacker out there, but he makes up for it with his speed.  He can cover sideline to sideline.  That is a crucial thing to have in a linebacker in today's NFL.

    The Giants will be able to just sit back and see how the first round plays out.  They do not have any huge needs, so they will be able to take the best player on their board.

    Pro Bowl Odds: 75:1