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1. QB, Andrew Luck, Stanford
Luck is clearly the top prospect on the board at this point, and barring some type of unexpected injury or other health issue, I don't see him falling from here.
Luck is slated to go to Indianapolis with the first pick, making this the easiest pick of the draft to project. He is the best quarterback prospect the league has seen a decade, and his bust potential seems so low that the Colts cannot pass him up.
2. RB, Trent Richardson, Alabama
Most don't have Richardson this high up on their board, but I think that's just position discrimination. Rarely do you see a running back drafted in the top five picks in today's NFL, and that's exactly where I project Richardson to go.
The Rams and Vikings are set at running back, so there's no chance they draft Richardson with their other needs. However, sitting at the fourth pick is the Cleveland Browns. If Washington trades up to the second overall pick, they'll very likely take Robert Griffin III, leaving the Browns with only one choice to lift their offense: Trent Richardson.
If the 'Skins do not trade up and Cleveland takes Griffin, I see the Alabama running back heading to the Buccaneers at the sixth pick. They could then boast the most physical backfield in the NFL with Richardson and LeGarrette Blount.
3. OT, Matt Kalil, USC
Kalil is the type of prospect that you constantly look for a weakness in, but just can't seem to find it. He's one of the most complete tackles entering the league in years, and he could likely step in from day one and start at left tackle.
Of all the teams drafting in the top five, the Vikings need a left tackle the most. Christian Ponder was beat up last season on a regular basis, and if the team wants him to progress, they're going to have to protect his blind side.
If Justin Blackmon lasts to the Vikings here, they could potentially draft the Oklahoma State receiver. If they do make that move, Kalil would likely slip to the Buccaneers or Redskins.
4. QB, Robert Griffin III, Baylor
Griffin rounds out what I believe is a top four that is far above the rest of the draft's prospects, on either side of the ball. His magical season at Baylor helped to elevate his stock to the point where he was at least in the argument for the first overall pick at one point.
Griffin will be drafted in the top four picks of the draft—that's a guarantee I'll make you. He's too good to slip further, and Cam Newton has erased all worries that a young, athletic quarterback can be something special in the NFL.
Washington could be tempted to trade up to the second pick to take Griffin before the Browns can get their hands on him. I see that as one of the more likely trades of the upcoming draft. If the Redskins do not make that move, he will slip no further than Cleveland with the fourth pick.
5. WR, Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State
Here's where I think there's a drop-off. I have Blackmon and Stanford's David DeCastro right on the edge of the top five, but the nod goes to Blackmon because of his incredible college production that I simply cannot argue with.
Blackmon could go as high as No. 2 to the Rams or No. 3 to the Vikings, but after that, he would certainly see a slip. That's what makes a draft position so hard to predict for him. If he does slip past both teams who are looking to draft him, he would likely go to Jacksonville at No. 7.