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Lincecum isn't a top 10 pitcher anymore.
ADP: 35.2 Average pick for SP: fourth
Tim Lincecum is one of the biggest overvalued players for the 2012 season.
Lincecum is a great pitcher, don't get me wrong, but he shouldn't be the fourth starting pitcher selected. I actually have him as No. 11.
Lincecum just isn't the same pitcher anymore. Most fantasy owners think Lincecum's 2.74 ERA last year got him back on track, but there are more important numbers to look at.
While his ERA was 2.74 in 2011, his FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) was at 3.17. In fact, since 2008, Lincecum's FIP has increased every season (2.62, 3.15, 3.17).
That's not all though. Lincecum's K/9 rate has fallen every year in that same span and his BB/9 has increased. Plus, since averaging 94 MPH on his fastball in 2008, Lincecum was down to 92.2 last year.
Lincecum is still a great pitcher, but I wouldn't take him before Cliff Lee, CC Sabathia, Jered Weaver, Cole Hamels or Felix Hernandez.