Hall of Fame Odds for 25 of NFL's Best Active QBs

By (Featured Columnist) on February 13, 2012

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With the NFL becoming more of a quarterback-driven league, it's possible that more and more QBs will end up in the Hall of Fame.

While it will certainly be difficult, the increase of statistics could propel some quarterbacks that wouldn't normally have a chance into Canton.

Here are the Hall of Fame odds for 25 of the NFL's best. 

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buffalo Bills

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Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Odds: 0.00000001 percent

I'll keep this as simple as possible.

Ryan Fitzpatrick will not make the Hall of Fame.

However, by default he makes this list with at least a minuscule fraction of a chance.

Alex Smith, San Francisco 49ers

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Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Odds: One percent

After a disappointing start to his career, Alex Smith had his best season ever in 2011.

While it was good to see him develop under Jim Harbaugh, unless he goes on a Joe Montana-like Super Bowl run, it will be very hard for him to reach the Hall of Fame.

Tim Tebow, Denver Broncos

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Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Odds: One percent

There is no doubt that there are some people out there that will cry that Tim Tebow deserves to be enshrined in Canton right now.

Just remember that those people are crazy. You don't want to associate yourselves with crazy people.

While Tebow's 2011 season was rather surprising and impressive, it would be unlikely if he started in the NFL for the rest of his career. 

I can't remember the last time a backup player made it into the Hall of Fame.

Matt Cassel, Kansas City Chiefs

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Peter Aiken/Getty Images

Odds: Three percent

It may seem surprising to see Matt Cassel with this high of odds, but he is an accurate quarterback that could be rather successful with some help around him.

The Kansas City Chiefs have a good, young defense, and if Cassel can produce some deep playoff runs he could sneak into the Hall of Fame.

Mark Sanchez, New York Jets

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Rich Schultz/Getty Images

Odds: Four percent

I really debated giving Mark Sanchez one percent odds to reach the Hall of Fame, but then I remembered that he is still a relativity young quarterback.

If he stays with the New York Jets, and they continue to build a dominant defense around him, he could win a few Super Bowls. Should that take place, plus he improves as a passer, the Hall could be calling.

Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears

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Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Odds: Five percent

It's going to be extremely difficult for Jay Cutler to get into the Hall of Fame in his current situation.

While his numbers aren't horrible, they've definitely taken a hit with the lack of an elite receiver to throw to. Should the Chicago Bears strike gold in the draft or free agency with a big-time wide receiver, Cutler could establish himself as one of the top quarterbacks in the league.

Until that happens, Canton won't be calling.

Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams

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Jay Drowns/Getty Images

Odds: Five percent

Even though Sam Bradford had the sophomore slump of all sophomore slumps, he still has an extremely bright future in front of him.

Sure, the St. Louis Rams are still rebuilding, but this is a young team that has some nice pieces on both sides of the ball. Should those pieces come together, and Bradford begins to really lead them, he could very well end up in the Hall of Fame by the end of his career.

Carson Palmer, Oakland Raiders

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Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Odds: Five percent

Right now, Carson Palmer belongs nowhere near the Hall of Fame.

He's had a career that hasn't been spectacular, but he could turn it all around with the Oakland Raiders. Remember, Palmer is only 32 years old and still has much football life in him.

If Palmer can turn his career around in Oakland, there is a slight chance that he'll end up in the Hall of Fame.

Matt Schaub, Houston Texans

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Bob Levey/Getty Images

Odds: Seven percent

A seven percent chance may seem a little small for a guy like Matt Schaub, but I'm really quite concerned about him staying healthy.

Schaub is one of the most injury prone quarterbacks in the league. When he's healthy, he also happens to be one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

The Houston Texans look poised to be a good team for a long time, and as long as Schaub is leading them, he could find his way into the Hall of Fame.

Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Odds: 10 percent

At first glance, this seems way too high for Josh Freeman, especially when you consider his 2011 season meltdown.

However, I fully believe that Freeman is going to do a complete 180 in 2012 and bring the Tampa Bay Buccaneers back into contention. Considering he is so young and so full of potential, it's way too early to write him off for the Hall of Fame.

Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

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Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Odds: 10 percent

If Joe Flacco ends up in the Hall of Fame, he'll end up as one of those quarterbacks who really benefited from players around him.

For example, the Baltimore Ravens defense makes Flacco appear much better than he actually is. However, if Flacco can ride those defenses to a few championships, he could very well end up in Canton.

Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys

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Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

Odds: 10 percent

For all the talk of Tony Romo being a choke artist and unable to win football games, he's still one of the better quarterbacks in the league right now. From a talent standpoint, he is a quality player.

Unfortunately, from a winning standpoint, he struggles, and this is why his percentage to get into the Hall of Fame is so low.

Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles

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Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

Odds: 10 percent

I'd love to give Michael Vick better odds to make it into the Hall of Fame, but I can't remember the last time a guy played only 10 or 12 games a season for his whole career and made it into Canton.

Vick's playing style is absolutely one of the most unique in NFL history, and had he stayed healthy, or out of prison, for his entire career, his odds would be much higher.

Coming into the NFL, Vick had the opportunity to completely change the quarterback position. While he's done that to a small point, other things have stopped him from having the huge impact he was expected to.

Matt Hasselbeck, Tennessee Titans

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Bob Levey/Getty Images

Odds: 15 percent

Considering the fact that Matt Hasselbeck is already 36 years old, these odds may seem a little too good for him.

However, Hasselbeck has had a good career including over 32,000 passing yards, three Pro Bowl invites and has made it to one All-Pro team.

Of course, he'd need to produce at a high level for another two or three years and bring some major victories to the Tennessee Titans to make it into the Hall of Fame.

Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals

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Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Odds: 15 percent

There are two reasons that I'm giving such a young player pretty decent odds to get into the Hall of Fame.

First, this kid is a winner. We saw in his rookie year the type of drive and dedication that made the Cincinnati Bengals fall in love with Andy Dalton.

Secondly, the Bengals have an extremely young and talented team around him that looks ready to win for a very long time.

As long as Dalton continues to win, he'll have a great chance to make it into the Hall.

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

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Nick Laham/Getty Images

Odds: 15 percent

Matt Ryan is one of the better young quarterbacks in the league, and he has the talent around him to win games.

So, what is keeping him back from having better odds to get into the Hall of Fame? Well, mainly the fact that he'll likely never be considered one of the elite quarterbacks of his time.

That is really no fault of him, but coming into the league when guys like Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Peyton Manning were in it, and then peaking at a time when players like Aaron Rodgers, Eli Manning and Matthew Stafford are hitting there strides is just bad timing for Ryan.

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers

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Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Odds: 20 percent

It was so difficult to decide on what odds to give Philip Rivers. One part of me wanted to give him way lower odds because of what happened in 2011, but another part of me wanted to give him much higher odds because of how talented he is.

I think the 2012 season will either start the decline of Rivers' career and keep him out of Canton, or he'll show just how good he is and really boost his chances to get into the Hall of Fame.

Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

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Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Odds: 25 percent

Okay, I know what you're thinking. You're saying to yourself, "Mr. Stein, you are crazy. Cam Newton has only been in the league for one year and you are giving him this good of a chance to get into the Hall of Fame?"

While that is a legitimate question, just imagine if Newton lived up to the expectations that were placed on him. Now imagine if he surpassed those expectations.

He'd possibly go down as the greatest quarterback to ever play the game. 

Now 25 percent odds seem a little too low, don't they?

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

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Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Odds: 30 percent

Of all the good, young quarterbacks in the league, Matthew Stafford looks to have the brightest future in front of him.

He's got the elite receiver in Calvin Johnson to throw to, he has all the talent in the world and he appears to have finally turned around the Detroit Lions.

As long as Stafford can stay healthy, he should be one of the best quarterbacks in the league for many years.

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

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Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Odds: 80 percent

Right now, Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback in the NFL. As long as he can hold that title for the next few years, he should have a pretty good chance to get into the Hall of Fame.

He's already got one Super Bowl ring, and a few more definitely seem like a possibility considering how talented the Green Bay Packers are. Not only could Rodgers end up in Canton, he could also go down as the greatest quarterback in Packers' history.

Eli Manning, New York Giants

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Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Odds: 99.9 percent

The only reason that Eli Manning sits with 99.9 percent odds is because I'm not positive he'd make it into the Hall of Fame right now. What I'm saying is that if Manning imploded this evening and never played football again, would he make it into Canton?

Right now I'd say no, but if he plays another snap, it's extremely likely that he'll find his way into the Hall of Fame.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

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Jeff Gross/Getty Images

Odds: 99.999 percent

While Ben Roethlisberger has certainly benefited from talented teams around him, he's actually a much better quarterback than people give him credit for.

Roethlisberger has two Super Bowl rings, has gotten the Pittsburgh Steelers to the Super Bowl three times and he's nearly a lock to make it into the Hall of Fame right now.

Should Big Ben continue to lead a dominant Steelers team, he'll have no trouble landing in Canton.

Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts

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Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Odds: 100 percent

Even after missing an entire season with retirement a real possibility, I'd still consider Peyton Manning on of the top quarterbacks in the league.

He was one of the best, if not the single best, quarterback of his generation and that alone should get him into the Hall of Fame.

Even if he never plays another snap, which nobody wants to see happen, Manning will end up as a member of the Hall of Fame.

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

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Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

Odds: 100 percent

Drew Brees was likely headed to Canton before he threw for 5,476 yards and broke Dan Marino's 20-plus-year record. Now he's an absolute lock for the Hall of Fame.

Even as Brees gets older, he appears to have no intentions of slowing down. It looks like he'll continue to lead the New Orleans Saints to the playoffs until he retires, and another Super Bowl ring is a definite possibility.

There is simply no way Brees doesn't end up in Canton.

Tom Brady, New England Patriots

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Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Odds: 100 percent

I feel rather ridiculous for even having to explain myself on why Tom Brady is a lock for the Hall of Fame, but here it goes.

He's a three-time Super Bowl champion, two-time Super Bowl MVP, two-time NFL MVP and has been to seven Pro Bowls. If you really need more of a reason than that, he's also thrown for nearly 40,000 yards and 300 touchdowns to go along with a 96.4 career quarterback rating.

When he finally retires, he could retire as the greatest quarterback to ever play the game.

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