UFC 143: What Needs to Go Right for a Roy Nelson Win

Sal DeRoseCorrespondent IFebruary 4, 2012

UNCASVILLE, CT - MAY 16:  Roy Nelson (L) of the Lions Den throws a punch at Brad Imes (R) MilesTech Fighting System during their bout presented by the International Fighting League at the Mohegan Sun Arena May 16, 2008 in Uncasville, Connecticut.  (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images for IFL)
Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

Roy Nelson makes his return to the cage tonight at UFC 143 coming off of a knockout victory over Mirko Cro Cop at UFC 137 last October.

Nelson now has a chance to put down another name on his resume with a possible win over Fabricio Werdum.

Nelson has a clear advantage in this fight standing and Werdum will be hard pressed to bring the fight to the ground.

If the fight stays standing, Nelson's striking could put Werdum away. Nelson has power behind his right hand and if he can avoid fatigue, that right hand can send Werdum to the bottom of the pile in his return to the UFC.

All Nelson has to do is avoid Werdum's submission attempts and stop Werdum from applying his brand of black belt Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Nelson does have good submission defense though and will most likely be able to fend off any attempts from Werdum. If the fight does go to the ground though and Nelson is on top, he will most likely work to the crucifix position he loves so much and chip away at Werdum's stamina and will.

Nelson obviously has to implement his game plan tonight whether it be getting Werdum in the crucifix, or dominate Werdum standing and toy with him.

The chin of Nelson is battle tested and no matter what Werdum brings standing, Nelson should easily be able to dispatch of it.

All in all if Nelson is able to implement his gameplan and avoid gassing out early, he will walk away with a win over a good fighter in Werdum.

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