Green Bay Packers

NFL MVP 2011: Why Aaron Rodgers Is No Lock to Take Home Prestigious Award

GREEN BAY, WI - JANUARY 15:  Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers looks on against the New York Giants during their NFC Divisional playoff game at Lambeau Field on January 15, 2012 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Luis BatlleContributor IFebruary 4, 2012

Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers was just short of sensational in 2012, putting forth one of the finer efforts in NFL history in his MVP-type season.

Yet could it be that in spite of the jaw-dropping numbers and 15-1 record on the season, Rodgers is anything but a lock for the MVP award?

Absolutely. Prestigious.

Whether it's the outright impressive play of other QBs in the league or a slight drop-off in the final weeks for Rodgers, there is no doubt that there is no lock for this year's MVP Award. Here's how the argument breaks down for Rodgers.

 

The Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Eli Manning Effect

All three of these QBs—Brady, Brees and Manning—have been especially impressive, helping their teams win games and putting up MVP-type production.

Brady threw 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions while also throwing for a career-high 5,235 passing yards. The mark was also the second-most by any QB in NFL history, falling short of Drew Brees' whopping 5,476 yards this season.

Outside of the numbers, it is important to note that Brady finished off the season strong. He was able to lead the Patriots to eight consecutive wins to close out the regular season, which has to play a major role in the MVP voting.

New Orleans Saints QB Brees was impressive as any player in the NFL this season, as his 5,476 passing yards were the most in NFL history.

He was able to put together a strong end to the season, throwing for 14 touchdowns in his last three games and finishing off the season with six consecutive 300-yard games.

Eli Manning—although not on the level of Brady or Brees talent-wise—is another player that has to deserve MVP consideration.

Leading his team to the Super Bowl, Manning has thrown for an NFL record 15 touchdown passes in the fourth quarter this season. His ability to get it done in crunch time was unmatched by most around the league and has to be given a significant level of consideration for MVP.

 

An "Aaron Rodgers" Drop-Off

It's put in quotation marks because this type of production from most other QBs would be looked highly upon.

In three of his last four games this season, Rodgers completed 60 percent or less of his passes. Twice, Rodgers was held to less than 60 percent.

Those four outings would feature two of his six interceptions, while also getting to the 300-yard mark just once during the span.

While there is no question Rodgers could well take home the award, considering his slight drop-off and the impressive numbers his counterparts produced in 2011, Rodgers is nowhere near being a lock for the 2011 MVP award.

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