UFC on FOX 2 Predictions: Evan Dunham vs. Nik Lentz

Sean SmithAnalyst IJanuary 28, 2012

Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC
Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC

Originally expected to meet Paul Sass at UFC on FOX 2, Evan Dunham will now be looking to climb back into a lightweight contender role by defeating Nik Lentz.

In his most recent fight, Dunham broke a two-fight losing streak by showing improved striking against Shamar Bailey. With better striking and his always dangerous ground game, Dunham will be a tough matchup for former University of Minnesota wrestler Lentz.

Lentz is at his best when working from the top position, but Dunham poses significant threats to Lentz on the ground as a jiu-jitsu black belt. If his striking is also as crisp as it appeared in his fight with Bailey, Dunham could have the advantage no matter where this fight goes.

Expect this fight to provide a little bit of every aspect of MMA, with Dunham picking Lentz apart on his feet and using submission attempts on the ground to keep Lentz from opening up his ground-and-pound.

Much like it was in his most recent fight against Mark Bocek, Lentz's wrestling will be negated by a more talented jiu-jitsu practitioner. When the fight is standing, Dunham will use his reach and work with kickboxer Ray Sefo to overwhelm Lentz.

Lentz is a tough individual, having only been finished twice in his 28-fight career, so he should be able to reach the final bell. However, the scorecards will most likely be lopsided in the favor of Xtreme Couture product Dunham.

Dunham defeats Lentz by unanimous decision.


Sean Smith is a Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report MMA. For the latest insight and updates on everything MMA, you can follow Sean on Twitter @SeanSmithMMA.