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Everybody is drinking the Brandon Weeden Kool-Aid right now. Russ Lande of the Sporting News reports that Weeden is the best quarterback at the Senior Bowl, and might even work his way into the first round.
However, history suggests that the Dolphins should stray far away from the 28-year-old quarterback.
First of all, there seems to be this assumption that because of Weeden's maturity and arm strength, he is bound to succeed in the NFL. But he is no less risky of a pick than any other quarterback in this draft class.
Second, we've seen other quarterbacks post huge numbers in Mike Gundy's offense. Remember Zac Robinson and Bobby Reid? Neither matched Weeden's incredible stats, but both excelled in OK State's offense only to fall by the wayside in the NFL.
Third, look at other minor league baseball players turned NFL quarterbacks—their track record isn't good. Chris Weinke and Drew Henson were both collegiate standouts, but neither became anything more than backups in the pros.
Finally, Weeden's age does matter—for the Dolphins, anyway. This team is searching for a quarterback to be the face of the franchise for years to come. Weeden, like every other rookie quarterback, will take some time to develop. By that time, though, he might already be 31 or 32 years old.