I've written about this a lot today, but I simply don't see how the New York Giants can repeat the miraculous upset over the New England Patriots from Super Bowl XLII. This time around the Patriots are simply too good offensively, while the Giants boast a back seven that is far too leaky.
The Giants have an excellent pass rush that racked up 48 sacks during the regular season, which ranked third in the NFL. They have added nine more in three postseason games so far.
That said, New York finished the regular season ranked 27th in total defense (allowing 376.4 yards per game), and also ranked 29th in pass defense (255.1 yards per game). That will be a huge problem against the Patriots.
New England's offense all starts under center with Tom Brady. The league's reigning MVP had another phenomenal season in 2011. He completed 401-of-611 passes (65.6 percent) for a career-high 5,235 yards, with 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. His quarterback rating of 105.6 ranked third in the NFL.
Behind Brady, the Patriots finished the year ranked second in the NFL in total offense (428 yards per game), and second in passing offense (317.8 yards per game).
The team's passing offense was just so good this season, and the reason why is because of the weapons at Brady's disposal. Receiver Wes Welker led the NFL in receptions with 122, and finished second in receiving yards (1,569), while scoring nine touchdowns.
Second-year tight end Rob Gronkowski finished second among all tight ends in receptions (90) and led them in yards (1,327), while setting an NFL record for touchdowns at the position with 17.
Meanwhile, receiver Deion Branch added 51 catches for 702 yards and five touchdowns, while tight end Aaron Hernandez racked up 79 catches for 910 yards and seven scores.
The Giants will almost certainly attempt to get to Brady via the pass rush, but the Patriots had 612 pass attempts this season and only allowed 32 sacks. That is a remarkably low number. It will take a huge effort for New York to get to Brady consistently.
Because if the matchup of New England's offense against New York's defense, I don't think the Giants can repeat their incredible upset from 2008.