It's a buy-low year on Joey Votto.
His power dipped in 2011, especially in the first half, and his team's struggles down the stretch overshadowed a sneaky-good finish.
Votto didn't dominate headlines, but he did finish with the National League's best OBP for the second year in a row and slugged a healthy 29 home runs.
His high-average, high-power combo is as good as any outside the Pujols-Cabrera faction. At 28, he's on the front end of his prime. First base is deep, but Votto is too good to fall far.
It's human nature to devalue numbers ending in nine. That's why retailers always market at one cent below the dollar. The same sentiment holds for fantasy baseball, and guys that finish with 31 HR always make bigger waves than guys who hit 29. You can get great value on the 29-HR guy as your competitors splurge on the 30-HR power. Keep an eye out for those statistical mirages and know how to manipulate them.