LSU vs Alabama: How Many Points Will It Take to Win the National Championship?

Johnathan CaceCorrespondent IJanuary 9, 2012

TUSCALOOSA, AL - NOVEMBER 05:  Drew Alleman #30 of the LSU Tigers celebrates after kicking the game-winning field goal in overtime to defeat the Alabama Crimson Tide 9-6 during their game at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 5, 2011 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

For fans of big-scoring games, you were delighted by the past week of bowls. You were also probably horrified at the last game between LSU and Alabama in which a combined 15 points were scored in a game that went to overtime.

So how many points will it take to win the rematch? Probably 20.

Alabama could have easily scored a lot more points that it did the first time with two inopportune interceptions and four missed field goals. LSU, on the other hand, will have Jordan Jefferson for the entire game, and he was more efficient with the football than Jarrett Lee, had more total yards and didn’t turn the ball over.

That said, the defenses will still be the two best in the country. The Tide’s defense has been one for the ages and leads the nation in every major statistical category, while the Tigers are not far behind, ranking second or third in every major category.

Guys like Jefferson, Trent Richardson, Rueben Randle and A.J. McCarron will get their yards and their points but there may not be a bigger surprise in college football history if this game has over 60 points scored. Neither team has given up more than 27 points all year, and only three games eclipsed 20.

The offenses are good, but the defenses are much, much better. The over/under for this game is at 41 points, and that’s right where it should be. If you then factor in how close these teams are together talent-wise, the first team to 20 should definitely win.