As nice as it would be to snatch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, grabbing the first seed from the Patriots is the least feasible result of Week 17’s games. The Patriots are playing a team that they traditionally own and doing it in New England—where it is nearly impossible to beat them.
Also likely to be thrown out is the path that has both Pittsburgh and Baltimore losing. While it’s feasible that one team would lose their game, it seems highly unlikely that both would fall on the same day at the same time with so much at stake.
There are some that believe the most likely scenario is that Pittsburgh will indeed take the No. 2 seed by virtue of the fact that the Bengals must simply win to make the playoffs and will be highly motivated: They are the only team of the three in the AFC North that has not clinched a spot already.
They can still lose and get in, but the odds are long.
I would say that is the most likely scenario, but that it’s tied with the possibility that both Pittsburgh and Baltimore will win and that the Steelers will be in the fifth spot.
Either way, both teams will be dangerous postseason competitors.