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Tampa Bay may be a decent underdog in this one; however, the Atlanta Falcons are lacking confidence after getting blasted by the New Orleans Saints on Monday in Week 16.
Also, the Bucs bested the Falcons at home earlier this season, so Tampa can most definitely pull off the upset.
For starters, the Falcons haven't been their usual self on offense. Through the first half of the season and partially into the second half they relied on being a balanced unit. However, Atlanta got away from that and it's no surprise that they have struggled.
Well, Tampa Bay has to know this and they will load the box to shutdown Michael Turner (who hasn't hit a 100 yards since Week 11). Matt Ryan is solid, but any good QB needs a running game to help him out.
As for the Bucs, LeGarrette Blount will slice through Atlanta's deceivingly weak rush defense. The Falcons allow 235 pass yards per game and rank No. 19, so it's no wonder they rank No. 8 against the run.
No one bothers to really run against them as it's much easier to throw, plus they lack a consistent pass rush which Josh Freeman will exploit. By game's end the Falcons fall as a one-dimensional offense and Tampa remains in the driver's seat from kickoff thanks to a solid ground game that sets up the pass.
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