Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been nearly flawless this season—as have the Packers, who have locked up home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with their 14-1 regular season record.
And without a doubt, Rodgers has carried plenty of teams to the fantasy promise land. If your league crowns its champion after Week 17, however, you will (likely) need to look elsewhere.
It's unlikely that he'll take enough snaps to throw for the 357 yards he needs to reach 5,000 for the season. While I expect him to play a series, maybe two, there is no way that he plays more than backup quarterback Matt Flynn.
Rodgers has been really efficient this season: He has thrown 39 pass attempts or less every week except one (Week 13 vs. Giants). Although he ranks third in passing yards (4,643) and first in passing touchdowns (45), he only ranks 11th in pass attempts (502).
Coming off his first five-touchdown performance of the season, Rodgers has a 45:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Not only did he shatter his previous career best of 30 touchdowns (2009), but he set the franchise record and his six interceptions are his career low since he became the team's starter.
Here are some more quarterback notes for Week 17.
Saints quarterback Drew Brees threw his 12th 300-yard game this season and became the NFL's single-season record holder in passing yards (5,087) last week (via The Washington Post). Fortunately for fantasy owners, Brees and the Saints will be vying for a first-round bye, which means Brees has a shot to play the whole game.
Patriots quarterback Tom Brady needs only 103 yards to reach 5,000 on the season. Brady has thrown a touchdown every game this season, and has only one passing touchdown in two games this season, including last week.
In that game, however, Brady did his best Cam Newton or Tim Tebow impersonation as he rushed for two touchdowns. In fact, he has three rushing touchdowns in the past two weeks.
Speaking of Newton—the top overall pick in the 2011 NFL Draft—he threw for three touchdowns, which ties his career high, and rushed for another in the team's blowout win over the Bucs last week. On the season, Newton has 20 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns—an NFL record for quarterbacks. In addition, he needs only 107 passing yards and 27 rushing yards to reach 4,000 passing yards and 700 rushing yards for the season.
Tebow is coming off his worst game of the season. He threw four interceptions and completed only 43.3 percent of his passes. That said, he threw and ran for a touchdown. If the Broncos win, they are in the postseason.
Speaking of quarterbacks rushing for touchdowns, Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez has rushed for six touchdowns this season after doing so three times in both of his first two seasons. Sanchez ended his streak of sub-200-yard games, but it took a career-high 59 pass attempts for him to do so.
The Jets need the Bengals to lose and other help in order to advance to the postseason.
Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton can lead his team to the postseason with a win over the Ravens this week. Dalton—who has had four straight games with less than 200 yards—had a career-high 373 yards against the Ravens earlier in the season.
The final game of the regular season will decide the outcome of the NFC East (take our poll on who will win). In his last game against the Cowboys, Giants quarterback Eli Manning threw for 400 yards and two touchdowns. In his past two games, however, Manning has completed less than 50 percent of his pass attempts (only 32 of 67), for a total of 482 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions.
What a disappointing season Tampa's Josh Freeman has had! After a 25:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio last year, Freeman has thrown only 14 touchdowns and has a league-high 19 interceptions. That is one more interception than he had in his rookie season.
Here are our fantasy quarterback rankings for Week 17:
1. Drew Brees, Saints (vs CAR)
2. Tom Brady, Patriots (vs BUF)
3. Cam Newton, Panthers (at NO)
4. Eli Manning, Giants (vs DAL)
5. Matthew Stafford, Lions (at GB)
6. Michael Vick, Eagles (vs WAS)
7. Matt Ryan, Falcons (vs TB)
8. Philip Rivers, Chargers (at OAK)
9. Tony Romo, Cowboys (at NYG)
10. Tim Tebow, Broncos (vs KC)
11. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bills (at NE)
12. Joe Webb, Vikings (vs CHI)
13. Carson Palmer, Raiders (vs SD)
14. Mark Sanchez, Jets (at MIA)
15. Rex Grossman, Redskins (at PHI)
16. Andy Dalton, Bengals (vs BAL)
17. Kyle Orton, Chiefs (at DEN)
18. Joe Flacco, Ravens (at CIN)
19. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers (at CLE)
20. Josh Freeman, Buccaneers (at ATL)
21. Alex Smith, 49ers (at STL)
22. Matt Moore, Dolphins (vs NYJ)
23. Matt Hasselbeck, Titans (at HOU)
24. Matt Flynn, Packers (vs DET)
25. John Skelton, Cardinals (vs SEA)
26. Dan Orlovsky, Colts (at JAX)
27. Josh McCown, Bears (at MIN)
28. T.J. Yates, Texans (vs TEN)
29. Tarvaris Jackson, Seahawks (at ARI)
30. Aaron Rodgers, Packers (vs DET)
Check out our rankings for other positions and/or flex rankings at TheTipDrill.com, our fantasy section.
Good luck in Week 17!